Let’s hope that the seats chosen for the Lord Ashcroft Scottish polling are varied enough to draw broad conclusions
I'm hoping Lord Ashcroft has chosen a broad selection of Scottish seats so we'll be able to draw broad conclusions
pic.twitter.com/PBlQWf90WD
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015
UPDATE – the Ashcroft Scottish polling published early
The Ashcroft Scottish polling has been published and show a staggering 25.4% LAB to SNP swing http://t.co/EBa7AX8oK5
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015
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At 11am Lord Ashcroft’s Scottish polls are due to be published and, hopefully, they’ll give us a clearer idea about what is going to happen in the 59 seats north of the border on May 7th.
Scottish seats vary so much on a whole range of measures and it would be really good if Lord A has chosen a group that will enable us to make broader statements about what’s going to happen on May 7th.
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As a starting point my wish is that there’s a reasonable spread based on the IndyRef outcome. Hopefully there will be both seats that voted strongly for NO on September 18th, those that voted for YES and those in-between..
A geographical spread right across Scotland would also be great because the politics of, say, the Highlands and Islands are totally different from elsewhere. Glasgow has a totally different political culture than Edinburgh as do Dundee and Aberdeen.
It really is great that Lord A is investing his money is these surveys which are enabling us to look at the coming battle in a way that has nor been possibly previously.
Roll on 11am for the official publication.
Mike Smithson
For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble
For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB