With Scotland looking so difficult Labour’s big hope is the English battleground
Mapping where the main action will be
If the two main parties are level-pegging in England then that represents a swing of 5.7% on the last general election so, all the above should be potential LAB gains on current England only polling data.
In almost all of the seats in the chart there has been Lord Ashcroft single constituency polling and the latest batch, just before Christmas, of those right at the top of the chart had more CON holds than LAB gains.
This has been reflected in the betting which I hope to incorporate into future versions of this chart.