Two Mondays ago the Populus and the Ashcroft had an 11 point gap over the LAB lead
Revised @LordAshcroft poll Tweet. The first survey from him this year that doesn't have LAB behind. pic.twitter.com/Cu8pgNGtxL
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 26, 2015
Today there’s 1 point gap
Mondays have become the biggest polling day of the week witch at least three new surveys being reported. In the morning we get Populus online, the afternoon Lord Ashcroft and the normal YouGov in the evening. Today we’ve got a new London YouGov survey for the Evening Standard (see below).
But the big picture that was being portrayed very differently two weeks ago has the pollsters coming into line – LAB 1% ahead with Populus and level-pegging with Ashcroft
The Ashcroft survey has CON 31+2, LAB 32+4, LD 6 -3, GRN 11-2, UKIP 15=. That fall for the yellows is a real shocker and must give hope to the blue team which has been relying on easy pickings from the LDs to make up for potential losses to LAB. The problem is that an LD collapse in LAB-CON marginals probably helps Miliband’s team most.
So where are we? Well the position is little changed from before Christmas apart from the Greens edging up a notch.
Revised change on GE10 figures YouGov/Standard poll London.
LAB 42, 5.4
CON 32 -2.5
LD 7 -15.1
UKIP 10, +8.3
GRN 8 +6.4
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 26, 2015