CON + LAB slump to record aggregate low in tonight’s Lord Ashcroft weekly phone poll
The trend in the weekly @LordAshcroft phone polls. Not good for LAB
pic.twitter.com/Qat6ZaWaDE
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 3, 2014
This evening's CON 30% share & LAB 29% are lower than Major did for Tories in 1997 & Brown for LAB at GE2010
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 3, 2014
The scale of the UKIP/GRN/SNP surges is breathtaking
That LAB falls to a record low of 29% is remarkable in itself but what is startling is that in the same poll CON is on just 30% making a big 2 aggregate of just 59%.
To put it into context. John Major’s Tories got more than 30% in the 1997 Blair landslide and LAB did better than 29% at GE10.
At the same time we are seeing three parties surge. UKIP, of course, and the SNP and the Greens.
What this does to GE2015 is hard to predict.