The latest round of Lord Ashcroft’s marginals’ polling finds a 5% CON to LAB swing – slightly more than the 3-4% we’ve been seeing in recent national polls
@LordAshcroft latest batch of marginal polling finds 5% swing in CON held seats with majoritiies 3% – 4.8%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2014
Seat-by-seat results in my latest poll – swings range from 2% (Pudsey, Gloucester) to 8% (Brentford & Isleworth): pic.twitter.com/xEJCDlZdKj
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) October 16, 2014
I love this Tweet from Lord A
No doubt Conservative Party internal polling will show a Conservative overall majority #comfortpolling
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) October 16, 2014
Aggregate shares from latest @LordAshcroft polling of 11 marginals
CON 33
LAB 39
LD 6
UKIP 16
GRN 5
A swing of 5% to LAB from CON
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2014
The CON-LAB swing (5%) in the latest batch of marginals polled is slightly higher than recent national polling 3-4%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2014
When pressed with @LordAshcroft seat specific question 9% of UKIP voters switched to CON & 5% to LAB
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2014
Interesting to note that Lab share in @LordAshcroft Corby poll down 8 points on 2012 by-elec, #UKIP up 7. UKIP hurting Lab in key marginal
— Rob Ford (Britain) (@robfordmancs) October 16, 2014
28% of UKIP voters in latest @LordAshcroft marginals polling say they'd prefer a LAB government compared with 35% saying a CON one
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2014
Worrying for CON: @LordAshcroft. 2-stage question in latest polling finds no boost when focus is on constituencies. No sign incumbency boost
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2014