ICM…..Opinium…..Survation….rolling blog on tonight’s final polls
This is what the ballot paper looks like (vis @faisalislam )
pic.twitter.com/D95tRyK1hE
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
Big news is that all 3 polls have same figures YES 48 NO 52
Graphic showing full details of the Survation/Mail IndyRef poll
pic.twitter.com/kdb4z3jlBD
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
YES price moving out on the Betfair exchange. Two hours ago a £100 winning YES bet would have produced a £450 profit. Now that is £490
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
Opinium/Telegraph: #indyref finds 49% of Scots thinking the campaign has “caused deep divisions within Scotland†http://t.co/yTOiExwNIQ
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
CORRECTION
Opinium for @Telegraph has same split as ICM
NO 52
YES 48
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
After DKs excluded ICM split is
NO 52
YES 48
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
The first of tonight's IndyRef polls. ICM for Scotsman has
YES 41%
NO -45%
DK 14%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
@britainelects The polling industry's learned lot in past 10 days. No embargoed copies and ultra secrecy. Even I don't know!
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2014
2040 First poll will be ICM for the Scotsman at 2100. Then Opinium for Telegraph 2115. Finally Survation for Mail at 2230