If the pollsters are understating UKIP like at previous by-elections then Newark is absolutely neck and neck
Traditional methodology might not be applicable Tomorrow afternoon Lord Ashcroft is publishing his poll for Thursday’s Newark by-election which will be the only the second survey that’s been carried in what’s turning out to be a humdinger of a fight between UKIP and the Tories. Both have got historical baggage that a win could help them shed. For you have to go back to William Hague’s victory in the N Yorks seat of Richmond in 1989 to find the last…