The LDs back in double figures This morning’s Sun sees the first post holiday weekend Euros poll from YouGov and the only changes on the the last survey are all within the margin of error. LAB no change, UKIP and CON both down one with the LDs back up one at 10%. Clegg’s party will be relieved that the negative reaction to the debates with Farage seem to be fading and that a 10% share should not produce the wipe…
Usual location: Dirty Dicks pub opposite Liverpool Street station Thanks again to Fat Steve for making the arrangements.
The ComRes/Channel 4 focus group of 2010 LD>LAB switchers The first post-holiday weekend Populus poll has very little change though the LAB lead moves from 1% to 3% – all within the margin of error. LAB 36 +1, CON 33 -1, LD 10 +1, UKIP 13 -1. The poll also shows that 33% of 2010 LDs who voiced a voting intention said they had switched to LAB. Amongst all 2010 LDs, including don’t knows and wont’t votes, the proportion was…
In the next couple of weeks postal vote packs for the May 22 Euro Election will be going out to those electors who have registered to cast their votes in this way. The chart shows how significant this form of voting has become. Back at the 2004 Euro Elections an experiment took place in four regions of England of all postal voting. These were the North East, North West, Yorkshire and the East Midlands. This certainly encouraged overall turnout. In…
How UKIP is handling the immigration issue it its campaign posters. pic.twitter.com/YKYQ7UfJBB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2014 Another of UKIP's Euro 2014 campaign election posters. pic.twitter.com/83mtwiLb39 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2014 And the parodies have already started The UKIP ads – now the inevitable parodies start pic.twitter.com/DEklLwe57F — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2014 So far, at least betting interest has been minimal Four and a half weeks to go now till the national election that could…
Following the weekend’s ICM Scottish poll people have begun to look more closely at what the impact in a general election might be if the 59 Scottish MPs were removed. Clearly GE2015 will take place as planned but the above chart has been produced to make a general point – LAB would find it harder to win general elections without Scotland but this can be overestimated. The table above sets out key numbers. The House of Commons based on the…
Daily Mail chooses Easter Sunday to attack Christians for feeding the poor. #WWJD pic.twitter.com/ow3PvM28Vk — Billy Bragg (@billybragg) April 20, 2014 A mistake or great investigative journalism?
How Scotland on Sunday is reporting its #IndyRef poll with the NO lead down to just 3% pic.twitter.com/uWy8j1WaEO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 20, 2014 Excuding DKs/WNVs it is YES 48: NO 52 A dramatic new poll by ICM for Scotland on Sunday has the gap down to just 3% – the lowest ever from an established national pollster. The numbers say it all. YES is stable on 39% but there has been a four point reduction in those saying…