Prof John Curtice: UKIP “greatest threat to established party system since WWW2” twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st…

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 3, 2013

Curtice on Ukip

UKIP results looking “quite remarkable”, averaging 26% in council wards contested – #vote2013 analyst Prof Curtice bbc.in/16vV1M9

— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) May 3, 2013

The story so far

#vote2013 so far: Labour win South Shields by-election; Tories retain 5 councils, lose 2; UKIP make gains. Go to bbc.co.uk/vote2013

— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) May 3, 2013

The LD performance in South Shields

The 1.4% for LDs is SShields is one of the lowest for a major party on record, and their lowest share in a by-election since 1948.

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2013

Tories reduced to 17.9% in Eastleigh

Aggregate #LE2013 votes from Eastleigh constituency LD 37.3%, Ukip 35.3%,CON 17.9%

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 3, 2013

LAB YouGov lead jumps from 6% yesterday to 11% today.CON 32%, LAB 43%, LD 9%, UKIP 11%

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 3, 2013