The Ralllings and Thrasher May 2 projection: Interactive chart
Meanwhile best YouGov poll for LAB since April 17
CON 31, LAB 40, LD 11, UKIP 11
To YouGov question on who you’d vote for if all parties had chance of winning seat it was CON 26, LAB 37, LD 12, UKIP 18. So here the Tories are just 8% ahead of Ukip.