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Month: January 2013

The first PB Local Election night

The first PB Local Election night

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Harry Hayfield’s previews the day’s contests We have four by-elections this week (with two in the same local authority). They are Leashowe and Moreton East, Heswall, Brixton Hill and Hill. Leashew and Heswall are both on the Wirral, Brixton Hill is in Lambeth and Hill is in Fenland, Cambridgeshire. For each by-election, I will post the results over the most recent electoral term, that means where a ward has multiple elections (as in the case of the Wirral) I will…

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Now hints of a story you never thought you would see: Nick Clegg – the Comeback Kid

Now hints of a story you never thought you would see: Nick Clegg – the Comeback Kid

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After the worst figures for 23 yrs from MORI yesterday Clegg & LDs see their best numbers with YouGov since Nov 2010 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 17, 2013 Update: Labour lead at 9 – Latest YouGov/The Sun results 16th Jan – CON 33%, LAB 42%, LD 12%, UKIP 8%; APP -28 y-g.co/10c9rhJ — YouGov (@YouGov) January 17, 2013 Cameron extends lead over EdM to 10% in YouGov’s best PM rating. He’s 33, EdM 23(-2), Clegg 7 (+2) —…

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Starting tomorrow the PB Thursday Night Local Elections Special

Starting tomorrow the PB Thursday Night Local Elections Special

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Join us to get first news of what’s happening From tomorrow there will be a new feature on the site – The PB Thursday Local Elections Special. This will provide a focus for the council by-elections that take place on many Thursdays when real voters cast real votes in real elections. I know, many current PBers have a fund of knowledge in this area and do, already feed in information. A briefing, written by Harry Hayfield, on the seats at…

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The Lib Dems drop to their lowest level with Ipsos-MORI since 1990

The Lib Dems drop to their lowest level with Ipsos-MORI since 1990

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Chart showing fuller detail on today’s Ipsos-MORI poll. Amongst all voters UKIP on 7% but 9 with those certain to vote twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 16, 2013 And UKIP get 3rd place in a phone survey for first time The pie chart says it all. LAB hold a 13% lead over CON and the LDs slip behind UKIP for the first time in a phone poll. This is seriously bad news for the party and for Nick Clegg…

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If the bookies are right the chances of an in-out EU referendum look bleak

If the bookies are right the chances of an in-out EU referendum look bleak

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And even if there is the vote will be to remain With two days to go before Dave’s big speech here are some of the latest betting odds with each of the major firms defining it differently. Ladbrokes make it a 4/1 chance that there’ll be an EU Membership Referendum by 2015 with 1/6 that it won’t William Hill make it 7/4 that there’ll be a Referendum in the UK on EU membership before 2020. The firm is also offering…

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UKIP down at 2009 actual vote share in first YouGov 2014 Euro elections poll

UKIP down at 2009 actual vote share in first YouGov 2014 Euro elections poll

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UKIP down to 2009 actual vote level in first YouGov Euro elections poll. LAB +22, CON -1 LD -2 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 15, 2013 Surely Farage’s party should be doing better? The first YouGov poll fr the June 2014 Euro elections has, somewhat surprisingly, UKIP at exactly the same level as they achieved in June 2009. Given recent Westminster voting intention polling there had been speculation that UKIP could even finish in first place. Well they might…

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