The Ukip rise continues in the first phone poll since Cameron’s speech
In sharp contrast to online polls the 1st phone survey since Dave’s EU speech has Ukip up to 10%. www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=55988 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st…
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2013
ComRes/Indy poll has CON 32/LAB 39/LD 10/Ukip 10
We now only get three telephone polls each month which is a great pity. They cost a lot more to mount than an online survey and I take them more seriously.
Tonight’s ComRes poll for the Independent sees the Tories gaining a bit of ground the changes with LAB down a couple of notches. But it’s the rise in Ukip’s share, when all the online firms had them making progress, which is the big surprise.
The non-voting questions followed the standard ComRes “agree-disagree” format which I don’t like.
The pollster found 30% saying they are now more likely to back CON, while 57% disagree. One in six Labour supporters 16% and almost four in 10 supporters of the Ukip supporters say they are more likely to vote Tory.
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Not all Conservatives are impressed by last week’s announcement: 28% of current CON voters and 35% per cent of #GE2010 supporters say they are not more likely to back the party after the referendum promise.
The public appear to share LAB and LD fears that the decision to delay a referendum until 2017 could harm the economy by creating uncertainty for companies and investors. Some 49% agreed with 32% disagreeing.
Mike Smithson
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