Scotland’s most accurate pollster suggests that Alex Salmond’s magic might be on the wane

Scotland’s most accurate pollster suggests that Alex Salmond’s magic might be on the wane

In the week that the referendum deal was signed….

There’s a new Ipsos-MORI Scotland poll for the Times this morning that has support for independence declining, the SNP’s Holyrood vote share down, and a reduction in Alex Salmond’s approval ratings.

Independence At the start of 2012 the firm, which came top of the 2011 Holyrood polling accuracy table, recorded that 39% of those certain to vote supported independence. in June that was down to 35% and today’s poll has it slipping even further to 30%.

A big challenge is a gender gap. Just 24% of women would vote ‘Yes’ compared with 37% of men. The age group that is most supportive is the 35-54 age group where it is at 35%.

    The latest Holyrood voting intentions with comparisons on June are SNP 40%-5/LAB 35%+3/CON 13%+1/LD 8%+2

Salmond’s leader ratings are 50% satisfied to 40% dissatisfied. This is a net rating plus 10% which is down 3 on June. In January Salmond had a net satisfaction rating of 35%.

Although the trend is moving downwards Salmond’s ratings are positive unlike Dave, Ed and Nick.

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