..

And in London Boris is back on top

It’s been a very big day of polling both in the US and in London.

A few weeks ago two pollsters, ComRes and YouGov, both had Ken winning back City Hall by 51-49. Now there’s a new YouGov which has the same figures but the other way round. Boris is winning 51-49. This is all margin of error stuff and the big conclusion is that the race looks very tight.

There’s been a glut of both state and national polls and the message is that the Santorum surge is continuing and is touching states where nobody was giving him any chance whatsoever.

The California primary Survey USA has it Romney 33; Santorum 31; Gingrich 17; Paul 9. The highest figure before this that Santorum has reached in the state was just 4%.

National poll of Republicans Gallup tonight had Romney 32; Santorum 30; Gingrich 16; Paul 8. This is based on a five day rolling average and my calculation is that the latest day has Santorum at 40+

Michigan primary For the this key state where Romney’s father was governor PPP has Romney 24; Santorum 39; Gingrich 11; Paul 12.

Also in Michigan ARG also has Santorum ahead with Romney 27; Santorum 33; Gingrich 21; Paul 12.

Georgia primary In Newt’s home state the ex-speaker seems to be picking up the anti-Romney vote. Mason-Dixon has Romney 29; Santorum 12; Gingrich 43; Paul 6.

All this, of course, could change rapidly once the Romney negative machine gets into action but as I argued on my Telegraph blog today Santorum is going to be a lot harder to destroy than Gingrich.

@MikeSmithsonOGH