Are non-doms damaging Dave? Without the key players there (Mr Brown is in Copenhagen) it was a very low key PMQs with Harman, Hague and Cable taking over the leaders’ slots/ As had been widely trailed ahead of time Vince Cable attacked Tory vice-chair for being a non-dom and Harriet Harman appeared to have a prepared statement. It was only the intervention of Speaker Bercow that brought the exchange to an end. As Garry Gibbon in his Channel 4 blog…
The PB Index: CON MAJ 52 (-8) When we last calculated the PB Index just four days ago the differing numbers from the two weekend polls seemed to be cancelling each other out – at least in the eyes of punters wanting to risk their money. But that’s all changed following the publication of the Guardian ICM poll which had the Tories unchanged on 40% but saw the Labour share move up two to 31 points. The PB Index, is…
Why’s the COI pulling ads from the end of February? In the coming weeks and months we are going to get a lot of different stories which could fuel the election date speculation. One snippet has just been past onto the me. The government’s main communications arm, the COI, is said to be pulling all outdoor advertising from after the end of February. This could be just precautionary but the convention, as I understand it, is that there is a…
Could Ken be Labour candidate once again? What are we to make of the stream of little reports that suggest that Ken Livingston might be manoeuvring to be Labour’s candidate for the London mayoralty in 2012? The Standard’s Paul Waugh has blogged about Labour’s decision to appoint one of Ken’s key aides to the big post of running the party’s London campaigns and wondered whether a return might be in the offing. So should you be risking your money on…
York Outer – 0.44% (Lab 27%) Romsey & Southampton N: 0.46% (Lab 10.9%) Cheltenham: 0.66% (Lab 11.8%) Eastleigh: 1.12% (Lab 21.1%) Westmorland & Lonsdale: 1.7% (Lab 7.8%) Hereford & N Herefordshire: 2.4% (Lab 10.2%) Carshalton & Wallington: 2.93% (Lab 17.3%) Taunton Deane: 3.3% (Lab 12.1%) Chippenham: 4.7% (Lab 16.8%) Leeds NW: 5% (Lab 31.9%) Torbay: 6% (Lab 14.5%) Sutton & Cheam: 6.2% (Lab 11.8%) Camborne & Redruth: 7.1% (Lab 25.6%) Richmond Park: 7.1% (Lab 9.25%%) Cheadle: 7.4% (Lab 9.9%) Portsmouth…
CON 40% (40) LAB 31% (29) LD 18% (19) OTHERS 11% Does this make an early election more of a possibility? As was being speculated about earlier the Tory ICM lead in the latest Guardian poll is down to just 9 points – a gap that will send jitters throughout Cameron towers. After a response to the PBR that was almost wholly negative the party must have been hoping that the progress of Labour would have been stalled. Instead we…
Can we expect a firmer view on the PBR reaction? Those who were hoping that the polls taken in the immediate aftermath of Alistair Darling’s PBR statement might give an indication of how it has gone down were disappointed. For there was a huge contrast between the online YouGov family of polls and that of the phone pollster, Comres. The former was showing the Labour deficit down three to just nine points while the latter had the gap widening by…
Will Brown get credit for staying in a war-zone? Over the past ten days there’ve been visits to Afghanistan by first David Cameron and now Gordon Brown. According to the Sun the latter became the first prime minister since Winston Churchill to spend the night in a war-zone and several papers are carrying the picture that’s on the Guardian’s front-page. Clearly as well as being seen to be “supporting our boys” the visits provide the peg for further coverage of…