Meanwhile news if coming out about postal voting

Eastleigh Council say 14,276 postal votes issued, and they’ve had about 8,500 back so far, so about 11 per cent of voters already voted

— Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) February 25, 2013

So it’s Survation’s 4% CON lead vs the Populus 5% LD one

I’ve done a check round the pollsters with the capabilities to do constituency surveys and the message I’ve got is that there probably won’t be a new survey ahead of Thursday.

The information we have is restricted to the Survation and Populus surveys that we saw over the weekend. The former had CON 4% ahead while the latter gave the LDs a 5% margin.

The only other data to emerge today is the above Tweet from Michael Crick about postal votes. The ratio of those returned already to those issued suggests that we’ll see a pretty good turnout.

The LDs, meanwhile, continue as odds-on favourites on the betting markets. Read into that what you will.

Mike Smithson

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