Newark: The final day of campaigning in a battle so important to both CON and UKIP

June 4th, 2014

Watch Shadsy of Ladbrokes in this clip

Not long to go now and the polling stations will be opening in Newark for a by-election that, whatever the outcome, will make history.

Either the Tories break their terrible record of losing every by-election defence while in office over the past 25 years or UKIP break their ongoing losing sequence and actually win a seat.

The only possible other outcome that could spoil this is Labour but from all accounts they have not been giving Newark the focus required to be a serious contender.

    My view is that the pressure is most on UKIP. For a failure here could change the whole upbeat media narrative that Farage’s party has enjoyed following their EP2014 performance.

It is fine having a string of good by-election second places but they desperately need a win. A poor performance here will make it easier for the other parties to dismiss them for GE15.

The circumstances of the election and the timing are ideal for the purples. A failure here, even if only by a small number of votes, is going going to take a lot the wind out of their sails.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble