Lord Ashcroft’s Newark poll: Tories set to hold their first by-election while in office since 1989
UPDATE “Spiral of Silence adjustment gives 4% boost to CON lead
With just three days to go the Lord Ashcroft Newark poll is out and has the Tories with a comfortable margin.
The figures are in the chart about together with the changes on GE10.
This look very easy for the blues although the poll paints a very different picture from the Survation Sun survey on Friday.
Which one’s right?
But bad news for the blues in latest Ashcroft national poll
Tories drop to 25% in latest @LordAshcroft national poll – their lowest in any published survey this year
CON 25
LAB 34
LD 6
UKIP 19
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 2, 2014