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The Conservative nightmare: We could be seeing a voteless recovery

March 4th, 2014

Tonight’s ComRes phone poll for the indy sees LAB lead up by 7%

The one hope that has been consistent amongst both coalition partners during the past three and a half difficult years has been the political benefits that would accrue once the recovery was established and the electorate could see that it had all been worthwhile.

Well over the past few months the economic news has been generally good. Growth is up while unemployment is down. Things start to look steady.

    Yet so far the recovery doesn’t seem to have provided a political benefit for the Tories – a fact underlined by the latest ComRes phone poll just out.

We now have the official figures from the latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy. The changes are in the chart above and show the overall Labour lead over the Tories up by 7% from the very low figure of one point at the end of January.

At the time that survey felt like an outlier and looks even more so now we have the follow-up poll using the same methodology.

Labour will be cheered by this poll particularly because it is from one of just three national telephone voting intention polls that still come out each month.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble