Tonight’s Opinium poll for the Observer sees the LAB share drop to lowest level since 2010

March 1st, 2014

The LDs get best Opinium figures since 2011

The fortnightly online poll by Opinium for the Observer is out and sees the LAB lead down to 5% and the party with its smallest share with the firm since 2010.

The pollster is the only online firm not to have any political weighting which makes an interesting contrast with the other internet operators. It generally has high UKIP scores and low LDs ones. Back in July it had the yellows on 6% – the lowest with any firm since the 1990s.

This could be an outlier and, as ever, we need to see other numbers before coming to conclusions about trends.

Even though LAB would barely have a third of the GB vote Electoral Calculus points to a majority of 62 on these figures.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble