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Category: Betting Call

Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting

Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting

Take on the mystery Betfair punter Mike ran a thread the other day looking for markets that might be affected by Jeremy Corbyn’s likely victory in the Labour leadership stakes. He highlighted NO in the EU betting where I’d agree odds of nearly 4/1 are tempting. However to my mind there are even better bets available in the London Mayoral voting – which will still be value even if Corbyn falls just short. Labour’s candidate is being decided on the same…

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The Tories become the favourites in the Rochester by-election

The Tories become the favourites in the Rochester by-election

PaddyPower now make the Cons favourite to win the Rochester by-election. UKIP evens, CON 5/6 http://t.co/1j2fiIYXxK pic.twitter.com/mgbt8ZGZNA — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) October 2, 2014 In spite of any publicly available polling, punters’ money is backing the Tories. With Paddy Power, William Hill the Tories are the favourites now, whilst at Betfair and Ladbrokes it is neck and neck between UKIP and the Tories, The Tories were 3/1 on Sunday when these markets opened. My thoughts on why this is are…

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UKIP claims two more Tories ready to defect: Party secretary says MPs will unveiled within days

UKIP claims two more Tories ready to defect: Party secretary says MPs will unveiled within days

The betting angle as rumours emerge of 2 more Tory MPs defecting to UKIP http://t.co/aA3iDG9kEl pic.twitter.com/oxsEIjo4DT — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 25, 2014 Today reports emerged that Senior UKIP figures are claiming two more Tory MPs are ‘in the bag’ and will be unveiled as defectors within days. To the alarm of Conservative HQ, Ukip party secretary Matthew Richardson has boasted privately that two turncoats have agreed to switch parties, according to two separate sources.  Mr Richardson has told colleagues…

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Why I’ve backed Philip Hammond as next Prime Minister at 33/1 (and Sajid Javid at 50/1)

Why I’ve backed Philip Hammond as next Prime Minister at 33/1 (and Sajid Javid at 50/1)

What if the referendum outcome triggered Cameron’s departure? A few months ago, there was speculation that if Scotland votes Yes, then David Cameron would resign as Prime Minister, that speculation has amped up in recent days. The Sunday Times reported “several Conservative MPs are prepared to go public and demand David Cameron quit and two Tory ministers have warned colleagues that they would also feel compelled to resign if there was a “yes” vote.” Whilst I still have my doubts that David…

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Are we really only five months away from Dave’s resignation?

Are we really only five months away from Dave’s resignation?

Benedict Brogan wrote the other day David Cameron will resign if he loses Scotland. A Prime Minister who allows the break-up of the United Kingdom cannot suffer such a statement of no confidence and continue in office. That much is understood in Downing Street, where a gnawing doubt about the referendum gets worse by the day. The vote takes place in five months this Friday. Angst rather than panic describes the feeling apparent among those involved – but is it…

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My 25/1 tip for our next EU Commissioner

My 25/1 tip for our next EU Commissioner

The primary reason I’ve been reluctant to heavily back Andrews Mitchell and Lansley (or any other Tory MP) is that I think David Cameron wants to avoid having an unnecessary by-election. My own hunch is that UKIP’s best chance of winning a by-election in this parliament will be in a Conservative held seat, and that may influence David Cameron’s choice when deciding our next man in Bruxelles. So he may go for some who isn’t currently a Member of Parliament,…

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Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

New PB thread looking at betting on Lib Dem deposit losses at the 2015 GE. http://t.co/FR0XvQI0M3 pic.twitter.com/EEpQPAakBj — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 23, 2013   A couple of weeks ago, Mike wrote about the potential number of Lib Dem lost deposits in 2015 and how the total of lost LD deposits which, if local trends continue, could run into the hundreds. Now in 2010, the Liberal Democrats didn’t lose any deposits, whilst the the Conservatives lost just two deposits and Labour lost five…

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Victory in these 26 constituencies alone would give Labour a lead on seats at GE2015

Victory in these 26 constituencies alone would give Labour a lead on seats at GE2015

LAB #GE2015 targets numbers 1 – 25 from ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/labo… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 6, 2013 With polls as they are this looks an easy task This post is a follow up to the one we ran yesterday showing the most vulnerable constituencies for the three main parties. This one, from UKPollingReport shows the top 26 target seats for Labour – ones that really are “must wins” for EdM and his team. If this is all they won and…

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