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Category: PB’s “The Money Says” Index

Projected Tory majority up 4 on PB’s Index

Projected Tory majority up 4 on PB’s Index

Punters continue to bet against Brown/Labour The latest version of the PB Index, which tries to extrapolate current betting prices into a general election outcome, has a projected Conservative majority four seats higher than when we last looked at this five days ago. The index is now pointing to an overall majority for the Tories of 62 seats – which is the highest it has ever been. The calculation is done by taking the seat ranges on the two spread…

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PB’s “Money Says Index”: CON Maj 58 (-3)

PB’s “Money Says Index”: CON Maj 58 (-3)

Will this be moved by the weekend polls? We last covered PB’s “The Money Says Index” on Monday when it had reached what was a record high for the Tories. This is a projection of the general election outcome based on what is going on in the commons seats betting markets – the spreads from Sporting Index and ExtraBet (formerly IG) and the new Betfair Line commons seat line market. One of the reasons for the shift has been that…

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PB’s “The Money Says Index” moves to record Tory high

PB’s “The Money Says Index” moves to record Tory high

Sporting Index Spread Markets The market average: CON majority of 62 Today Politicalbetting’s projection for the general election based on what’s going on in the betting markets takes on a new dimension with the inclusion for the first time of Betfair’s new election line betting market. This was launched last week and involves punters entering into bets at evens on whether the parties will get more or less than the stated numbers. The great thing about this new type of…

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Spread punters move against Labour

Spread punters move against Labour

Sporting Index Spread Markets PB “The Money Says Index”: CON MAJ 59 (+4) After our piece this morning and the “Smeargate” developments during the day the money has been going against Labour on the spread betting markets – where really serious political gamblers trade the number of seats that the parties will get at at the election as though they were stocks and shares. After a day of some activity the

..and the PB Index moves just 2 seats

..and the PB Index moves just 2 seats

Sporting Index Spread Markets PB “The Money Says Index”: CON MAJ 55 (+2) However much excitement there has been over the past four days it’s perhaps worth reminding ourselves that “Smear-gate”, or whatever you want to call it, has failed to persuade the serious political punters who play the spread markets to pile onto the Tories or to sell Labour seats. The latest SPIN spreads shown above have just advanced one seat forward for the Tories with the Labour spread…

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Spread punters move back to the Tories

Spread punters move back to the Tories

PB Moneys says Index: CON MAJ 53: Up 8 seats There’s been a sharp move back to the Tories on the Sporting Index Commons seats spread markets following the latest polls showing that Cameron’s party is retaining its position. The latest figures with the SELL price first and the BUY price second are: CON 349 – 354: LAB 226 – 231: LD 43 – 46 seats. This represents a four seat shift since Saturday. Here punters looking for high risk/high…

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G20 boost for Gord on PB’s “The Money Says” Index

G20 boost for Gord on PB’s “The Money Says” Index

The Labour Party Spread moves suggest a CON MAJORITY of 45: Down 11 seats There’s been a sharp move to Labour on the Sporting Index Commons seats spread market follow the G20 meeting. The latest figures with the SELL price first and the BUY price second are: CON 345 – 350: LAB 230 – 235: LD 43 – 46 seats. The bookmaker has also reduced the range of the spread from six seats to five which should offer a little…

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..and the spread markets remain unmoved

..and the spread markets remain unmoved

The Money still suggests a CON majority of 56 seats There have been periods when we’ve covered the latest commons seats spread prices on a daily basis as market sentiment has moved between the main parties. Since late January, however, things have remained almost static with hardly any movement at all. The above are the prices from SportingIndex and suggest a mid-point for the Tories of 353 seats. That’s 28 more than the 325 required for an overall majority –…

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