On Monday the Prime Minister will be ordered by the Court to send the letter and/or the Court will sign it himself. If the Prime Minister does not send the letter by the deadline tonight we *will* bring contempt of court proceedings against him personally. pic.twitter.com/DVQl1DK2g6
— Jo Maugham QC (@JolyonMaugham) October 19, 2019
There are many battles still to come
Apart from the processings taking place in the Scottish courts Johnson’s desire to get the Brexit legislation through the Commons will highlight once again his biggest weakness – his struggle ever to win a Commons vote.
This has been amplified by the today’s events with all the 10 DUP MPs voting for the Letwin amendment. The assumption must be this grouping, who providend “confidence and supply” support to TMay following her loss of the CON majority at GE2017 are now firmly in the opposition camp over Brexit issues.
The issue here is that the status of Northern Ireland goes right to the heart of what they stand for and that is going to override other political concerns. The DUP care more about the Union than they do about Brexit. It is as simple as that.
I just wonder whether this all makes a a confirmatory referendum that bit more likely as a way of avoiding the deadlock.
In the run up to October 31st expect to see more massive Commons votes.
Ladbrokes make it 2/1 that there’ll be “Another UK EU Referendum before end 2020”.