In spite of all the talk about “leadership challenges” there’s been little change in the Betfair betting on when TMay will cease to be leader.
Next year remains the solid 37% favourite with 2018 a 25% shot.
A few weeks go I got 8/1 with a bookie that she’d be out this year which I regarded then as value. The latest prices don’t tempt me.
But there is little doubt that she has done remarkably well to survive for so long and the longer she stays, I’d suggest, the greater the chance of her making it though to the next election.
But we do live in interesting times and anything could happen. Harold Macmillan used to call it “Events dear boy”.