— Guido Fawkes (@GuidoFawkes) November 3, 2016
The agreed odds suggest he’s got a betting bargain
Last night there were the Spectator Parliamentary Awards which, judging by the Tweets, turned out to quite an occasion with a series of extraordinary comments by amongst others Theresa May, Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage. These will be fully covered elsewhere.
What struck me from a betting standpoint was the above Tweet from Paul Staines (Guido). He’s clearly had a strong discussion with Banks and Farage about the WH2016 outcome and managed to get what looks like a reasonably good betting deal on Hillary Clinton.
Paul is risking £20,000 in total to win £9,000 on Clinton doing it. So in Betfair terms the wager is at 1.45.
If he wants to Paul can offset the wager on Betfair and pocket a nice profit. The current price as I write is 1.41.
I love wagers like this because they are at the heart of gambling. You get into an argument about an outcome and end the evening agreeing a bet.
This is well worth listening to. Osborne on top form at the Awards dinner.
George Osborne on top form at the Spectator awardshttps://t.co/0DhrbVcfmV
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 3, 2016