— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 19, 2016
How can you argue with people who totally believe this?
The graphic above is from the Times Redbox and has further detail from the Times YouGov Labour members’ poll. This one looks at how at how the Corbyn backers view the current party leader.
I find the figures staggering particularly the 54% believing that he’ll take them to election victory.
This is, of course, contrary to all the other indicators, local by-elections, Westminster voting intentions and leader ratings. In all LAB as a party is struggling and Corbyn in particular has terrible personal ratings.
Labour and Corbyn are going to be tested in the coming weeks ahead of the leadership ballot. If Theresa May enjoys a polling honeymoon then Corbyn’s party could have double digit deficits almost across the board.
As for his personal ratings amongst voters in general these are dire.
Corbynistas don’t seem able to grasp that their party needs to be attracting CON voters in marginal seats to have any chance at the next election. So far there’s precious little data to indicate that it is happening.
Whenever I get into arguments with them they’ll tell you that you can’t trust the polls because of what happened in May 2015.
What they don’t appreciate is that the the three general elections in modern times where the polls were badly wrong the LAB position was overstated in every case. Go look at the numbers for 1970,1992, and 2015.