Back in March 2013 Henry G Manson wrote a post here suggesting that Sadiq Khan, then 33/1, was a good value bet for London Mayor.
He argued that the then LAB shadow minister for London was in a strong position to secure the nomination – and so it turned out.
Amazingly, given that May 5th is not that far away we’d seen, until today, just one London Mayoral poll and that was in early January.
Well that’s changed with a new poll from Opinium the online pollster that got it most right when Boris Johnson won his second term in 2012.
Before second preferences were allocated it was Goldsmith 26% to Khan’s 31%. But the LAB contender did far better on second preferences with the top line of the poll having Zac on 45% to Sadiq 55%.
Also from the poll in the Standard is this interesting set of findings:
The survey reveals that Londoners are evenly split by Mr Goldsmithâ€™s controversial charge that Mr Khan is â€œradical and divisiveâ€, with 29 per cent agreeing and 27 per cent disagreeing.
On Mr Khanâ€™s counter-charge that his opponent was guilty of â€œcoded racismâ€, 34 per cent agree and 25 per cent disagree.
My guess is that this will all come down to turnout which will be significantly lower than when Boris fought Ken.