Today should determine whether the referendum will be on June 23rd
Once again all eyes will be on Brussels as Cameron seeks to get an EU deal that he’s confident will be sellable in the referendum.
Judging by the reporting in some of the press he has some way to go and it might be that this ends today without agreement. In that situation there will have to be more talks at a later date and it is going to be very hard to meet the deadline for a June 23rd vote.
That might suit Cameron. He has to be seen to have pushed hard and to claim some sort of victory in order that the narrative of the campaign is positive for him
If June 23rd can’t be met then the next likely referendum date will be September.
Whatever happens there is little he can Â do that is ever going to satisfy hardliners in theÂ OUT camp. They want to leave and they want the current talks to fail.Â
That is a weakness in their position because Cameron will be able to claim that whatever he achieves was always going to be be rubbished by the BREXIT fundamentalists.
The pressure on the other EU member states is that they don’t want this to drag on. There are many other things they should be concentrating on.