If indeed it was “herding” who can blame the pollsters?

If indeed it was “herding” who can blame the pollsters?

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So much rests on the final General Election poll

I like the above chart from yesterday’s polling investigation presentation which does suggest that deliberately or not the overall affect was that a pattern that appeared like herding happened.

I don’t blame the pollsters. So much is stake with their final election polls. It is something they can be judged on for the years that follow.

Perhaps we need a more sensible approach to polling generally.

As I’ve stated GE2015 has taught me that party vote shares are one of the worst guides to election outcomes.

At least the pollsters that do leader ratings all ranked Miliband a fair way behind Cameron.

Mike Smithson



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