— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 25, 2015
The Labour disaster that’s waiting to happen
The FT’s insightful political commentator, Janan Ganesh is on top form this morning with his assessment of what the likely Corbyn LAB leadership victory will do to the main party battle. In one of the best written pieces I’ve seen in along time Ganesh demolishes the notion that somehow Mr. Corbyn could present problems for the blues.
“Sometimes things are as simple as they seem. There is no profit in searching for complexity or perverse consequences in events that can only play out one way. Contrarians, stand down.
If a socialist peacenik becomes leader of Britainâ€™s Labour party on September 12, it is not somehow a problem for the Conservatives, too. Tories high-fiving each other at the prospect of facing Jeremy Corbyn should not â€œbe careful what they wish forâ€. They should not â€œreflectâ€ on what his sensational climb â€œmeansâ€ and â€œengageâ€ with his â€œmovementâ€. They do not â€œunderestimateâ€ him, they estimate him correctly â€” that is, derisively. There are no hidden dimensions or unconsidered angles here….”
In a later extract Ganesh observes:-
…The mere act of choosing the most extreme leader in its history might be impossible to live down. He can resign immediately on September 12 but the harm to Labourâ€™s good name will still be measured in years. For a generation of swing voters, Labour will always be the party that elected â€œthat guyâ€, and only ever one rush of blood to the head away from another folly. Anyone who thinks the election of Mr Corbyn is anything but a huge net benefit to the Conservatives is trying very, very hard to be interesting...”
That’s the disaster waiting for Labour in just two and a half weeks time and the surprising thing is that many in the party don’t see it.
On Betfair Corbyn is now rated as a 75% chance to win the leadership election.