The knight of the long knives spread market from SPIN
Nigel Farage (Thanet South),
Nick Clegg (Sheffield Hallam),
Ed Balls (Morley & Outwood),
Douglas Alexander (Paisley & Renfr’ S.),
Danny Alexander (Inverness, Nairn…),
Jim Murphy (Renfrewshire East),
Charles Kennedy (Ross Skye & Loch’),
Simon Hughes (Bermondsey & S’wark),
Esther McVey (Wirral West),
George Galloway (Bradford West)
This SportingIndex market is a spread bet with the total determined by the following.
0 fail to win (i.e all win their seats) = 0
1 fails to win = 5 pts
2 fail to win = 10 pts
3 fail to win = 15 pts
4 fail to win = 20 pts
5 fail to win = 25 pts
6 fail to win = 30 pts
7 fail to win = 40 pts
8 fail to win = 60 pts
9 fail to win = 80 pts
All 10 fail to win = 100 pts
Only 1 score counts, based on the exact number who fail to win.
Min MU = 0, Max MU =100.
The current spread is 27-32. So if you bought at 32 you’d make money provided that four on the list failed. Your exact winnings/losses would be based on how many failures there were.
I’d go for four. The Scottish ones look very vulnerable and chances are that one of the other seven won’t make it.
The Ipsos-MORI poll
I’m tied up all afternoon.