The above chart shows the CON lead in the polls from the first week in March 2010 and compares them with the actual election result nine and a half weeks later.
As can be seen the polling at this stage proved to be a reasonably good pointer and in some cases better than the final polls.
Of course past performance is no guarantee about what’s going to happen but it’s interest to look at.
It is perhaps worth pointing out that five years ago all the betting pointed to a working CON majority – which is not what happened.
Latest Populus sees LAB still in lead Con 32 (+1) Lab 34 (+1) LD 8 (-1) UKIP 14 (-2) GRN 5 (-1)
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2015
Coming up at 4pm the weekly Ashcroft national poll that last week had a LAB lead for the first time in 2015. Will that revert?