Why’s the Westminster bubble ignoring the Tory near collapse in England?

Why’s the Westminster bubble ignoring the Tory near collapse in England?

In 2010 CON 11.4% ahead: Latest Opinium has them 2% behind

That’s a massive gap to close in a part of the UK where 96% of the LAB-CON battlegrounds are.

To work out swing you look the change in party figures from the last election an divide by 2. So here LAB is up 6.9% with Opinium in England and the Tories down 6.5%. So that makes a swing of 6.7%

On UNS this would give LAB enough seats to offset likely Scottish losses and be very close to a majority.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble


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