Populus Green total half that of Ashcroft
After a period in which UKIP has been edging down across the polls there’ll be some relief at Farage Towers that today’s Lord Ashcroft poll has them at 18% – up 4 on a week ago.
The chart shows the comparisons with the Populus online poll published earlier.
The bigger picture is that another month has gone by and LAB is maintaining a lead albeit a small one. Twice since the Ashcroft poll was started in May it has shown Tory leads.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 4, 2014
As can be seen from the Electoral Calculus projection LAB’s 33% would give EdM a 34 seat majority. UKIP’s 18% = ZERO seats.