EXCL: YouGov/Sun projection – UKIP to make history and win tmrw's Euro vote: UKIP 27%, Lab 26% http://t.co/BxDIr0lDej pic.twitter.com/hsgK5eLfgo

— Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 21, 2014

 

Update the Sun Graphic is incorrect, The Greens are on 10% ahead of the Lib Dems who are on 9%

— The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) May 21, 2014

Meanwhile The Guardian have an interesting leak.

An internal Liberal Democrat document reveals that the party is braced for a complete wipeout in the European parliamentary elections.

Senior party figures have been briefed to say that a failure to win any seats should be “expected” at this stage in the electoral cycle for a governing party.

The document, the contents of which have been leaked to the Guardian, advises Lib Dem spokespeople about what to say if the party wins between no seats and two seats in Strasbourg.

You can still bet on the number of seats the Lib Dems will have, 7/2 is still available on zero Lib Dem MEPs if you don’t think this is expectations management by the Lib Dems.

The bookies are reporting

Punters continue to pile into UKIP to win tomorrow, now 4/9 favs. The Ladbrokes Euro Election Betting Guide http://t.co/pqXmInUAMX

— Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) May 21, 2014

Some support for Labour from 11/4 to 13/5 but UKIP 4/11favs with Tories 9/1; Lib Dems 250/1.42pc of bets for UKIP;30 Lab;20 Con;8L-D.

— William Hill (@sharpeangle) May 21, 2014

UKIP odds-on for 1st time to win one or more seats at General Election -5/6. Also 13/8 to get more votes than LDs, 4/9 not.

— William Hill (@sharpeangle) May 21, 2014

UPDATE – OPINIUM POLL ON THE EUROS IS OUT AS WELL

Opinium poll for tomorrow's Daily Mail – UKIP: 32% Lab: 25% Con 21% LD: 6% Green: 6%

— Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) May 21, 2014

 

TSE