For the 3rd consecutive YouGov poll LAB’s in the 40s, a sequence that was last bettered in April

For the 3rd consecutive YouGov poll LAB’s in the 40s, a sequence that was last bettered in April

The last time that LAB had a run of more than three YouGov daily poll shares in the 40s was back in April before the local elections. So today’s third consecutive poll with the party in the 40s suggests that with this firm at least its position is stable.

There is very little movement with all the parties except the LDs who do seem to be down a point or two on what was the norm for them.

UKIP remain in double figures even though the media spotlight is off them.

The one number that seems to vary most is the CON share.

The party is doing better than in most of the year after the March 2012 budget but for it to have any hope of stopping Ed Miliband becoming next PM then it has to be doing quite a bit better.

Tomorrow the General Election will be precisely 18 months away and I am planning an analysis on how polling positions at this stage look compared with the actual results.

Mike Smithson

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