PaddyPower is offering 6/1 on the Tories retaking Corby – Louise Mensch’s old seat which was won by Labour in last November’s by-election.
Given that the best you can now get on a CON majority is 3/1 then the Corby price is remarkably generous if you think that the Tories are in with a chance of, at the very minimum, of stopping Labour from getting most seats.
Based on the GE2010 outcome Corby was LAB target number 27 and it is the result from May 2010 that we need to compare with.
There is a long history of the blues, when in government, taking back seats lost in by-elections during the parliament.
If things are going the party’s way then it’s hard to see that happening with Corby remaining in the red camp.
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