All my choices are longer than evens

GE2015 betting Bradford W Galloway is going to be tougher to beat than his 3/1 price suggests. Value bet pic.twitter.com/1WzICjg5Fs

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 8, 2013

One of my best bets in 2012 was the 33/1 I got on George Galloway in the Bradford West by-election. My view then remains – Galloway is a formidable politician and he’s going to be a tough one to beat. 3/1 looks a good price. Link to PaddyPower.

GE2015 betting Cambridge 1st time incumbency bonus for @julianhuppert makes the 6/4 look attractive pic.twitter.com/IJtRCWolmg

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 8, 2013

We’ve discussed many times the very considerable first time incumbency bonus that LD MPs have had at past elections and the reports I have suggest that he’s popular in a seat that has returned MPs from all three main parties in recent times. The Tories are in second place. Link to Ladbrokes.

GE2015 betting Eastleigh Given their by-election 2nd place the UKIP 5/1 looks the value bet. See pic.twitter.com/MmL08dzk2Y

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 8, 2013

I’m on UKIP at 6/1 in Eastleigh and still think the 5/1 offers value. The 28% vote share that UKIP chalked up here in the February by-election is their biggest ever for a Westminster seat and their chances will be heightened if they retain the same candidate. The party did well in the seat in the May County Council elections.

This will be a tough fight with the LDs and Ukip will be looking for tactical Tory votes. Link to PaddyPower.