S. Shields Ukip share – I’m taking a punt at 6/1 that it’ll be 30-40%
Ladbrokes has a new market up on what will be the UKIP vote share be in the S.Shields byelection.
0-10% 6/1
10- 20 7/4
20-30 5/4
30-40 6/1
40+ 20/1
I like long shots so I’ve gone on the 30-40 option. 6/1 seems a good price.
This might be crazy but Ukip did very well for me in Eastleigh beating both Labour and the Tories at nice odds.
I like the look of the Ukip candidate who I feel will go down well in a part of the world where I started my journalistic career.
Unlike Eastleigh there has been no polling so there’s nothing to guide punters apart from the GE2010 outcome.
As a general rule incumbent parties get punished for “optional” by-elections and my reading is that the purples are establishing themselves as the main opposition to Labour. That should encourage the anti-LAB vote to get behind them.