What will this week’s surveys tell us
There’s a poll from last week from the Canadian online firm, Angus Reid, that’s just been published and like the ICM and YouGov surveys at about the same time has the split at 58-42 to NO.
The fieldwork finished last Thursday so is now quite old – but it does bear out what we saw from other firms. There has been a big shift to the NO camp.
Most of the change has come from a hardening up of Tory support for NO following Cameron’s decision to step up his campaigning particular following his big speech on the subject.
We have not, alas, had any polling numbers from after last Thursday. Hopefully that gap will be filled tonight.