Labour move up 4 with ComRes online

Labour move up 4 with ComRes online

Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD %
ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 19/11/10 37 38 13
ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16
ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 15/10/10 40 34 14
ComRes/Independent (Online) 01/10/10 39 36 15
ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 16/09/10 37 35 15
ComRes/Independent (Phone) 05/09/10 38 34 18
ComRes/Mirror/GMTV (Phone) 15/08/10 39 33 15
ComRes/Independent (Phone) 08/08/10 39 33 16
ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18

And the Lib Dems drop to 13

There’s a new poll out tonight from ComRes Online for the Indy on Sunday – only the second non-YouGov voting intention survey during November.

The firm now operates in two guises – as a standard phone pollster and, in recent months, as an online one. This can make comparisons a bit tricky which is why in the table above I have sought to distinguish between the two methodologies.

So Labour are up four compared with the last comparable survey with the Tories down three and the Lib Dems down one. It’s clear that the cuts are starting to take their toll on the coalition partners.

As can be seen the online version of ComRes has tended to produce slightly better numbers for the Tories than the firm’s phone polls and slightly worse figures for Labour and the Lib Dems. The online polls, as well, seem to have attracted slightly higher totals for “others”.

Whatever polling is about trends and this is the first ComRes online poll to report a Labour lead – albeit a smaller one than their phone survey at the end of October.

For the Lib Dems this is the smallest share that ComRes has found in either of its guises since the general election and that isn’t good. It does show the real hit the party has taken.

There should be a new YouGov tonight and I suspect that that will be all.

Online polls, it will be recalled, did significantly worse than the phone surveys at the general election.

Mike Smithson

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