|Year||Post-war elections with a change of government|
|1951||Outgoing LAB government had lost an effective majority. The Tories won outright|
|1964||Incoming Labour government with minuscule majority. Second election eighteen months later|
|1970||Outgoing Labour government with working majority replaced by Tory government also with a working majority|
|1974F||Incoming Labour minority government – second election held seven months later|
|1979||Outgoing LAB government had lost a working majority. The Tories won outright|
|1997||Outgoing CON government had lost a working majority. Labour won outright|
Is majority to majority too big an ask?
The table says it all. Of all the changes of government that we’ve seen in the UK since 1945 just one has seen a party with a working commons majority being replaced by another, also with a working majority.
The only time it happened was in 1970 which was one of the biggest upsets there has been – for all the indications were that Harold Wilson’s Labour government would win a thirds term.
With all the other changes of government either the outgoing party did not have a workable majority or the incoming didn’t.