The Labour backers continue to stay away

Surprisingly, given, the latest ICM poll, the PB Index has seen a four seat upwards movement of the projected Tory majority. This has been mostly driven by changes in the latest prices from Sporting Index which now have CON 342 – 347: LAB 218 – 223: LD 53 -56 seats. The Extrabet market does not seem to operate at the weekend

The Betfair line markets is virtually unchanged.

So the roller-coaster February on the spreads continues with the market numbers being out of alignment with the latest polls when applied to a seat calculation on a strict UNS basis.

These might be pointing to a hung parliament but very few punters, it would seem, are ready to risk their hard-earned cash on it.

I just wonder whether Andy Cooke’s analysis on the previous thread might have had something to do with it.

The PB index seeks to extrapolate an election prediction based on how the betting markets are moving.

Mike Smithson

Ukraine exit polls update:

Now available at the Election Game:

www.electiongame.co.uk

Double Carpet