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Category: Commons seats spreads

Tories drop five seats on the spreads following the Andrew Neil interview rumpus

Tories drop five seats on the spreads following the Andrew Neil interview rumpus

SportingIndex Commons Spreads Punters think it will have an impact Just before the Andrew Neil video attack on Johnson was published the Tories were trading at 344 sell and 350 buy on the Sporting Index Commons seats spread betting market. Those are now down five seats. On the Betfair majority market the Tories are down just a point. Spread betting is much more sensitive here because the more people are right the more they win and the more they are…

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The Commons seats spread betting markets appear to have settled down with very little movement

The Commons seats spread betting markets appear to have settled down with very little movement

Will it be in these ranges when the exit poll comes out? Above are the latest Commons seats spreads from SportingIndex which have shown little movement  this week. A way of looking at this is that this is where current betting money is going and to me, at least, there are few obvious bargains. My main spread bet is on turnout which is currently 66.8% sell and 67.4% buy. I bought at 66.4%. I did have a sell bet at…

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The spreads move even more sharply to the Tories

The spreads move even more sharply to the Tories

SpprtingIndex The mood on the spread betting markets this morning has been sharply to the Tories with both LAB and the LDs seeing their projected seats numbers drop markedly. This follows a weekend of good polling news for Johnson with LAB and the LDs seeing disappointing drops in their poll shares. The picture is all of Johnson heading for a comfortable working majority. On Friday evening, as I reported here, I made my first big spread bet of the elections…

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Why I’m now a seller of LAB seats on the Spreads.

Why I’m now a seller of LAB seats on the Spreads.

YouGov English regional polling has LAB in 3rd place in the Eastern region the South East and South West We haven’t yet looked at the series of English regional polls that YouGov carried out last month and has only just published them.  This is the first time I can recall this form of polling being carried out across England and the results help us to see where parties are doing well. The South West has always been a key battleground…

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The spread markets the Tories down a touch but still heading for a majority

The spread markets the Tories down a touch but still heading for a majority

SportingIndex The Greens up following the United for Remain moves Until we get the final outcome I’m planning to do regular posts on the Commons Seats spread-betting market from SportingIndex. This will act as a useful reference to how things have changed and how punters are seeing things. What I like about these markets is this gets right down to the general election outcome in terms of seats. This is a form of betting for those ready to risk what…

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Punters continue to sell CON seats on the spreads – now down to 102 majority with Spreadex

Punters continue to sell CON seats on the spreads – now down to 102 majority with Spreadex

The latest polling has caused a big sell of CON seats on the spread markets. With Spreadex it is now 373-379 seats. At the weekend the buy level was more than 400. SportingIndex has it slightly higher at 373-379 which means that my sell bet at 393 placed on Saturday night is now showing a nice profit. What’s nice about this form of betting is that you can take and pocket your profits well before the election has taken place….

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Tories heading for 124 seat majority according to spread betting markets

Tories heading for 124 seat majority according to spread betting markets

With the campaign starting to get underway again it is perhaps worth reminding ourselves that we have a dearth of up to date polling. There’ve only three national surveys that were carried out after the CON manifesto launch last week. These have been ICM and the Survation online poll for the Mail on Sunday and the phone one for Good Morning Britain. We’ve also had the YouGov Wales poll which had LAB with a bigger margin over CON than EdM’s…

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