CON SPREAD RANGES 342 – 347 Sporting Index 340 – 345 ExtraBet 346 – 349.5 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES 218 – 223 Sporting Index 220 – 225 ExtraBet 213 – 218 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES 53 – 56 Sporting Index 54 – 57 ExtraBet 53.5 – 54 Betfair Line market This is the first PB Index for nine days and it shows only a four seat drop in the projected Tory majority since February 13. The…
The Labour backers continue to stay away Surprisingly, given, the latest ICM poll, the PB Index has seen a four seat upwards movement of the projected Tory majority. This has been mostly driven by changes in the latest prices from Sporting Index which now have CON 342 – 347: LAB 218 – 223: LD 53 -56 seats. The Extrabet market does not seem to operate at the weekend The Betfair line markets is virtually unchanged. So the roller-coaster February on…
CON SPREAD RANGES 340 – 345 Sporting Index 338 – 343 ExtraBet 344 – 347 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES 220 – 225 Sporting Index 221 – 226 ExtraBet 215.5 – 221.5 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES 53 – 56 Sporting Index 54 – 57 ExtraBet 53 – 53.5 Betfair Line market Has the Ipsos-MORI aggregate moved the markets? After a week which saw a dramatic move against the Tories on the spread betting markets things have now…
CON SPREAD RANGES 347 – 352 Sporting Index 343 – 348 ExtraBet 351.5 – 355.5 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES 212 – 217 Sporting Index 213 – 218 ExtraBet 211 – 214 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES 53 – 56 Sporting Index 55 – 58 ExtraBet 53 – 53.5 Betfair Line market But the money is still well ahead of the seat projections As suggested here on Saturday morning the tightening of the Tory polling position over Labour…
How gamblers are seeing the election There’s hardly been any movement for months on the PB Index – the site’s attempt to extrapolate a general election result from how political gamblers are risking their cash on the party seat markets. Here it’s all about the balance of money with some punters wanting to sell and others wanting to buy. The PB Index is worked out by taking the mid-point spreads on the Betfair party line market and the spread betting…
The PB Index: CON MAJ 52 (-8) When we last calculated the PB Index just four days ago the differing numbers from the two weekend polls seemed to be cancelling each other out – at least in the eyes of punters wanting to risk their money. But that’s all changed following the publication of the Guardian ICM poll which had the Tories unchanged on 40% but saw the Labour share move up two to 31 points. The PB Index, is…
The PB Index: CON MAJ 60 (nc) After a night which has seen two very different views on the state of political opinion in the country what better than to look at how punters are reacting. Are they putting their cash behind the YouGov 40-31-16 or the ComRes 41-24-21? That’s a huge variation in the Labour share which it is hard to explain. Today’s PB Index, which is calculated by taking the average of mid-points on the main seat betting…
SportingIndex CON 358-363 LAB 202-207 LD 52-55 Betfair GE Party Line CON 350-355 LAB 205-207.5 LD 50-54.5 Why are the prices so different? Has anybody else noticed the discrepancy between the GE Spreads and Betfair’s ‘Party Seats Line’? The mid point sell of Labour on SPIN is 204.5; on the PSL it is 207.25. Not a lot of difference, you might think. But hold on. The PSL sell price should always be *lower* than the spreads, not higher, as it…