The Ashcroft phone poll, like Populus this morning, has CON trailing by 5%
But these are the most dramatic figures of all
In England where 533 of the 650 seats are @LordAshcroft has
CON 28
LAB 34
LD 6
UKIP 22
GRN 8
So UKIP just 6% behind CON
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 24, 2014
This is starting to get serious for the blue team
As usual at 4pm on Monday Lord Ashcroft publishes his latest weekly national phone poll and today’s show the LAB lead moving to 5%.
The followed this morning’s Monday Populus online poll that had Lab 36 (=) Con 31 (-2), LD 9 (=), UKIP 15.(+1) So both today’s surveys have comfortable margins for EdM’s team which if it wasn’t for the current problems north of the border would point to a solid majority on May 7th.
It’s that Scottish uncertainty that is dominating things. LAB needs to have bigger GB leads than 5% to be sure of a majority without his current total of 41 Scottish MPs.
In spite of giving LAB a 5% just 23% of sample in @LordAshcroft poll think that EdM will be next PM pic.twitter.com/RfzdA3o4vA
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 24, 2014
For the first time SNP now favourites with Ladbrokes http://t.co/ZlibygoyoN to win most Scottish seats at GE15. pic.twitter.com/CsQXC3JuTe
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 24, 2014