NO now back above a 70% chance on Betfair’s IndyRef market

NO now back above a 70% chance on Betfair’s IndyRef market

YES needs more polls like YouGov

As can be expected the weekend polls have triggered off a lot of betting activity. The market we can monitor best is the Betfair exchange where the price of the last trade is being constantly updated.

The YES price on the Betfair exchange did touch 33%. It has now slipped aback a touch.

Unlike many political markets there are a lot of punters on either side ready to risk their cash and the total matched should top £4m by tonight.

I ploughed into YES when the first news of the YouGov poll started to emerge and closed my bets down when Panelbase came out. Once again I have an even book.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble


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