After the rumours that a YES lead poll is about to be published Ladbrokes open market on the next Panelbase findings

September 4th, 2014

This might be a good way to flush out the data. If the odds change sharply or Ladbrokes suspend market then we’ll know something’s happening.

I’ve got a feeling that TNS might do very well in the IndyRef polling table. The firm’s fieldwork is face to face as part of larger consumer surveys.

YouGov, of course, made big methodological changes to their Scottish polls in mid-August. Until then they hadn’t been including 1-17 years olds and they now have a weighting based on whether people were born in Scotland.