We have cross-over with Populus online. CON 36% LAB 35%
CON moves into the lead with Populus online Lab 35 (-2), Con 36 (+1), LD 9 (=), UKIP 11 (-1). Usual good poll for CON on Fridays
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 8, 2014
But Tories need bigger margin to ensure most seats
Even though today's Populus online poll has a CON lead Electoral Calculus has LAB biggest party 12 short pic.twitter.com/VjaKSK0yLO
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 8, 2014
And the fundamental problem for the blues remains:
The killer figure for Tories in today's Populus poll is that 24% of 2010 LDs still back LAB. No sign of that fading
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 8, 2014