Ashcroft National Poll, 20-22 June: CON 28%, LAB 33%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 17%. Full details on @ConHome, 4pm
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) June 23, 2014
So far predictions of its demise have been premature
A very large number of people predicted after the May 22nd elections that as we got closer to next May’s general election then UKIP’s totals would start to fade away.
Well it is now a month after we were digesting those results and the picture is pretty much the same. The evidence from the Ashcroft weekly phone poll is that it is staying solid as can be seen in the chart.
In a poll that didn’t receive much attention last week, TNS-BMRB, Ukip was on 23% – the largest ever share in a national voting intention survey.
Maybe things will start to get back to “normal” after the Scottish referendum and the party conferences. Maybe.